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Elections Prediction Markets

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party market icon

Democratic Party

Republican Party market icon

Republican Party

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep market icon

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate market icon

D-House, R-Senate

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Gavin Newsom market icon

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance market icon

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio market icon

Marco Rubio

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Democratic Party market icon

Democratic Party

Republican Party market icon

Republican Party

California Governor winner? (Person)

Xavier Becerra market icon

Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton market icon

Steve Hilton

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance market icon

J.D. Vance

Gavin Newsom market icon

Gavin Newsom

New York Attorney General winner?

Letitia James market icon

Letitia James

Saritha Komatireddy market icon

Saritha Komatireddy

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Nithya Raman market icon

Nithya Raman

Karen Bass market icon

Karen Bass

MN-05 House winner?

Ilhan Omar market icon

Ilhan Omar

John Nagel market icon

John Nagel

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 193 market icon

Below 193

193-197 market icon

193-197

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

48

47

Blue wave in 2026?

FL-25 House winner?

Jared Moskowitz market icon

Jared Moskowitz

Scott Singer market icon

Scott Singer

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

James Talarico and Troy Jackson

Ken Paxton and Susan Collins

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Texas Senate margin of victory

Ken Paxton, 1+ pts market icon

Ken Paxton, 1+ pts

Ken Paxton, 2+ pts market icon

Ken Paxton, 2+ pts

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

Below 53

53

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

NJ-02 House winner?

Jeff Van Drew market icon

Jeff Van Drew

Zack Mullock market icon

Zack Mullock

Michigan Senate margin of victory

El-Sayed, 2+ pts market icon

El-Sayed, 2+ pts

El-Sayed, 3+ pts market icon

El-Sayed, 3+ pts

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Abdul El-Sayed

Mike Rogers

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Democratic sweep

Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio

Texas Senate margin of victory

James Talarico, 2+ pts market icon

James Talarico, 2+ pts

James Talarico, 3+ pts market icon

James Talarico, 3+ pts

Florida Senate margin of victory

Moody, 6+ pts market icon

Moody, 6+ pts

Moody, 7+ pts market icon

Moody, 7+ pts

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

Cooper, 13+ pts market icon

Cooper, 13+ pts

Cooper, 14+ pts market icon

Cooper, 14+ pts

NC-13 House winner?

Brad Knott market icon

Brad Knott

Paul Barringer market icon

Paul Barringer

TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera market icon

Brandon Herrera

Katy Padilla Stout market icon

Katy Padilla Stout

NC-03 House winner?

Greg Murphy market icon

Greg Murphy

Raymond Smith Jr. market icon

Raymond Smith Jr.

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

Graham, 5+ pts market icon

Graham, 5+ pts

Graham, 6+ pts market icon

Graham, 6+ pts

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

53

Above 56

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